Frodo has come to believe that everything Barack Obama does is part and parcel of some greater plan. For example, an apparently seminal speech is supported by subsequent historical references to a time when the civilized nations of the world acted together to combat a threat to their collective well-being. In so doing, he will seek direct or indirect input from those whose support he must have to implement his plans. His public pronouncements reflect the consensus achieved, and it allows him to specify, in public, policy determination.
President Obama and Prime Minister Netanyahu had frank conversations in the White House just a few weeks ago. So when the President visited King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia, then proceded on to his speech in Cairo, without visiting Israel, unlike every other President before, there appeared to be a message therein. From Cairo however, President Obama traveled to Germany, visiting Buchenwald, and demonstrated that even the Germans recognized the crimes committed in the past century, and that they, too, were behind his efforts to build a constructive future. But even more importantly was the discussion beforehand and the speeches on Omaha Beach by President Obama and President Sarkozy. It was clear that they had formed a partnership, directed at Iran, to marginalize Iran's current public leadership, and to give comfort to his political opposition, building even on the German recognition of the Holocaust. France would use its influence to reduce the impending nuclear threat represented by the Iranians and Israel was given every reason to believe that the United States had been, is, and will always be Israel's closest ally.
At the same time, Brian Harper of Canada, whose government had rejected the Obama Administration effort to relocate 17 Chinese Uighurs from Guantanamo to Canada just a few days ago, was reminded of Canada's D-Day participation in 1944, "even when they had not been attacked."
Now Special Ambassador George Mitchell and Secretary of State Clinton pick up the Mid-East ball, and chart the plays down the field. They understand the rules. Meanwhile, President Obama comes home, and goes to work on Health Care Reform, a mere week after sending a formal letter to Senators Baucus and Kennedy detailing his game-plan for that assault on the status quo.
Frodo is reminded of the chess matches he sees being played in city parks around the world. Often, there is one guy, jumping from one table to another, perhaps playing a dozen or more games simultaneously. Frodo has never seen one of those guys lose a single match to their sedentary opponents, including Frodo.
Frodo also bets that Netanyahu, despite winning recent elections on the premise of Israeli expansion on the West Bank, has already tasted Obama's disfavor on that point, and is now shuddering under the Obama onslaught to bypass Netanyahu and to speak, in his own way, to the Israeli people. That great middle ground in Israel, more impressed by Obama than Netanyahu, are listening. "Bibby" knows that, and now he has to do some real political work, amongst his supporters.
Sarkozy knows this too, and Frodo bets that Brian Harper better tune in quick. Obama will visit him again in the near future, but first he spends some time with Dick Lugar, Charles Grassley, Olympia Snowe, and the Secretary of Health, Education, and Welfare.
Frodo chooses not to further project into the future. Such a projection was the mistake he made when that guy put him in check after fewer than 50 moves. Everything he did was planned out once Frodo moved his first pawn.